We’ve been hearing for months and months now that the Democrats are going to have a great showing in November. It’s referred to as the ‘blue wave’ and the left is sounding a lot like they sounded in the months leading up to the 2016 election. They are convinced that Republicans are going to take a beating. It’s definitely possible. Historically, the party not in power does well in the midterms.
However, there definitely are some signs that suggest Democrats are counting their chickens before they hatch just like they did in 2016.
You know how we always hear that Republicans are the party of old people and that all young people are Democrats? That’s not entirely true according to a new poll and Democrats should be very worried.
From The Daily Caller:
The latest poll from Reuters and Ispos shows that millennial support for Democrats has significantly dropped over the past two years.
The poll surveyed more than 16,000 registered voters from January through March of this year. The data shows that only 49 percent of voters between the ages of 18-34 are likely to support a Democrat, a nearly 10 percent drop from the 2016 iteration of Reuters’ poll.
Additionally, millennials are now almost evenly split on which party has a better economic plan: 34 percent favored Democrats on the issue, while 32 percent favored Republicans. In 2016, Democrats outperformed Republicans on the economic question by 12 points.
That’s a huge deal is it not?
How could Democrats be losing support with young people during the Trump era? The media has been telling us for years that millennials all hate Trump.
Here’s some more evidence that Democrats might not be in as good of shape as they think for the midterms.
From The Daily Caller:
It’s called the “mid-term curse”: first-term presidents suffer a loss of appeal and voters decide to punish them at the polls. It happened to President Obama in 2010. Republicans rode a Tea Party wave to regain control of the House of Representatives in one of the most momentous election turnarounds in US history.
Will Democrats follow suit and recapture the House from Republicans this fall?
Predictions of a “Blue Wave” inundating the GOP in the November mid-terms abound. Everyone from polling expert Nate Silver to never-Trumper Ed Gilgore say one is coming. It will stoke the Democrats’ ambition to impeach Trump and completely stall the GOP agenda, they say.
Don’t bet on it. A little-noticed report released last week by the liberal-leaning Brennan Center for Justice points to one important reason why. The report projects that Democrats would need to win the national popular vote for congressional districts by a nearly 11 percentage point margin over Republicans to gain more than the roughly two dozen seats they need to flip control of the Republican-led chamber.
On top of all that, Democrats have been trailing the GOP when it comes to fundraising. Doesn’t that suggest that they don’t have the momentum they are claiming to have?
Democrats might do well. At the same time, it can’t be emphasized enough what a train wreck Pelosi has been and we all know that Trump’s support isn’t accurately reflected in the polls.